Thomas Hertel

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Distinguished Professor, Agricultural Economics, Purdue University Executive Director and Founder, Center for Global Trade Analysis

Areas of Expertise:

  • Climate change impacts and mitigation

  • Global land use change

  • Global food security and environmental change

Thomas Hertel is Distinguished Professor of Agricultural Economics at Purdue University, where his research and teaching focus on international trade, climate change, food and environmental security. Dr. Hertel is a Fellow, and a Past-President, of the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association (AAEA). He is also a fellow of the AAAS (2018). Hertel is the founder and Executive Director of the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) which now encompasses more than 15,000 researchers in 170 countries around the world (www.gtap.org). This Project maintains a global economic data base and an applied general equilibrium modeling framework which are documented in the book: Global Trade Analysis: Modeling and Applications, edited by Dr. Hertel, and published by Cambridge University Press. He has supervised more than forty PhD students and published more than 120 peer reviewed journal articles, along with several dozen book chapters as well as four books. Professor Hertel is the inaugural recipient of the Purdue University Research and Scholarship Distinction Award. He has also received a number of AAEA awards including: Publication of Enduring Quality, Distinguished Policy Contribution, Outstanding Journal Article and Quality of Communication. He has also been Advisor to two Outstanding AAEA PhD and MS theses.

Research Projects

FABLE

Students

Alla Golub | Jevgenijs Steinbuks

rdcep publications
A. Golub, T. Hertel, and S. Rose. Global land use impacts of us ethanol: Revised analysis using dynamic gtap-bio framework. Handbook of Bioenergy Economics and Policy. forthcoming.
Thomas W Hertel. The challenges of sustainably feeding a growing planet. Food Security, 7(2):185–198, 2015.
Hertel, Thomas, Jevgenijs Steinbuks, and Uris Baldos. "Competition for Land in the Global Bioeconomy" (September 10, 2012). RDCEP Working Paper No. 12-12.
T. W. Hertel, J. Steinbuks, W.E. Tyner . What is the social value of second generation biofuels? Applied Economic Perspectives and Policies, forthcoming, 2015.
Hertel, Thomas W. "Land, environment and climate: Contributing to the global public good." Working Paper 2013-107, United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research, 2013.
Hertel, Thomas W. "Confronting climate change: The role of land." United Nations University, July 2013. Research Brief.
Hertel, Thomas, Jevgenijs Steinbuks, and Uris Baldos. "Competition for land in the global bioeconomy." Agricultural Economics 44, no. s1 (2013): 129-138.
T.W. Hertel, U.L.C. Baldos, and D. van der Mensbrugghe. Predicting long term food demand, cropland use and prices. forthcoming in the Annual Review of Resource Economics, 2016.
Thomas W Hertel. Food security under climate change. Nature Climate Change, 6(1):10–13, 2016.
Thomas W Hertel, Jevgenijs Steinbuks, and Wallace E Tyner. What is the social value of second generation biofuels? Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, page ppv027, 2015.
Thomas W Hertel, et al. Predicting long term food demand, cropland use, and prices. Annual Review of Resource Economics, 8(1), 2016.
J. Liu, H. Mooney, V. Hull, S. J Davis, J. Gaskell, T. Hertel, J. Lubchenco, K. C. Seto, P. Gleick, C. Kremen, et al. Systems integration for global sustainability. Science, 2015.
Janine Pelikan, Wolfgang Britz, and Thomas W Hertel. Green light for green agricultural policies? An analysis at regional and global scales. Journal of Agricultural Economics, 66(1):1–19, 2015.
Jevgenijs Steinbuks and Thomas W. Hertel. Confronting the food-energy-environment trilemma: Global land use in the long run. forthcoming in Environmental and Resource Economics, 2015
Steinbuks, Jevgenijs, and Thomas W. Hertel. "The Optimal Allocation of Global Land Use in the Food-Energy-Environment Trilemma" (January 26, 2012). RDCEP Working Paper No. 12-01.
Jevgenijs Steinbuks et al. "Optimal Path for Global Land Use under Climate Change Uncertainty." In 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, DC, no. 151413. AAEA, 2013.
Steinbuks, Jevgenijs, & Thomas W. Hertel. "Energy prices will play an important role in determining global land use in the twenty first century."Environmental Research Letters 8, no. 1 (2013): 014014.
Steinbuks, Jevgenijs, and Thomas W. Hertel. "Confronting the Food-Energy-Environment Trilemma: Global Land Use in the Long Run." Environmental and Resource Economics (2012): 1-26.
Y. Cai, et al. The effect of uncertainty in crop yields on the optimal path of global land use. R&R in Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 2016.
Y Cai et al. The effect of climate and technological uncertainty in crop yields on the optimal path of global land use. 7009, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper Series, 2014.
Yongyang Cai et al. "The Effect of Climate and Technological Uncertainty in Crop Yields on the Optimal Path of global land use." World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 7009 (2014).